Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NBIS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$4.33
Method range
$4.33 – $226.86
median $38.95
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $4.33 | -98.02% |
| Exit multiple | — | — |
| Analyst target | $226.86 | +3.99% |
| Graham number | $38.95 | -82.15% |
- Forward DCF$4.33
- Exit multiple—
- Analyst target$226.86
- Graham number$38.95
Stock price
$218.16
EPS (TTM)
$3.00
5Y EPS CAGR
-34.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$4.33
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
29.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -4,941.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-34.9%
Your model implies
29.3%
Analyst consensus for next year implies -183% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.7% | 26.0% | 25.3% | 24.6% | 23.9% | 23.0% |
| 10.7% | 28.2% | 27.6% | 27.0% | 26.4% | 25.7% |
| 11.7% | 30.4% | 29.9% | 29.3% | 28.7% | 28.1% |
| 12.7% | 32.4% | 32.0% | 31.5% | 30.9% | 30.4% |
| 13.7% | 34.4% | 34.0% | 33.5% | 33.0% | 32.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.40
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Nebius Group (NBIS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.