Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NDSN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$345.40
Method range
$52.11 – $345.40
median $301.07
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $345.40 | +22.17% |
| Exit multiple | $287.31 | +1.62% |
| Analyst target | $314.83 | +11.35% |
| Graham number | $52.11 | -81.57% |
- Forward DCF$345.40
- Exit multiple$287.31
- Analyst target$314.83
- Graham number$52.11
Stock price
$282.73
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.14
3Y FCF CAGR
7.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$67.95
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
27.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -316.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
7.7%
Your model implies
27.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | 23.2% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 20.1% | 18.9% |
| 8.5% | 26.0% | 25.2% | 24.3% | 23.3% | 22.3% |
| 9.4% | 28.5% | 27.8% | 27.0% | 26.2% | 25.3% |
| 10.4% | 30.8% | 30.2% | 29.5% | 28.8% | 28.1% |
| 11.5% | 33.1% | 32.5% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 30.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.98
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Nordson (NDSN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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