Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NEM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$395.18
Method range
$46.66 – $395.18
median $139.95
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $395.18 | +312.72% |
| Exit multiple | $137.20 | +43.29% |
| Analyst target | $142.70 | +49.03% |
| Graham number | $46.66 | -51.27% |
- Forward DCF$395.18
- Exit multiple$137.20
- Analyst target$142.70
- Graham number$46.66
Stock price
$95.75
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.90
3Y FCF CAGR
19.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$241.64
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
7.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 60.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
19.1%
Your model implies
7.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 19% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | -1.5% | -3.9% |
| 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| 9.1% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.06
Low vs growth
Net cash
$1.94B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.48
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Newmont (NEM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks3.28% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.07% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.