Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NEM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$421.27
Method range
$46.66 – $421.27
median $145.90
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $421.27 | +322.49% |
| Exit multiple | $150.79 | +51.23% |
| Analyst target | $141.00 | +41.41% |
| Graham number | $46.66 | -53.20% |
- Forward DCF$421.27
- Exit multiple$150.79
- Analyst target$141.00
- Graham number$46.66
Stock price
$99.71
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.90
3Y FCF CAGR
19.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$258.30
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
7.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 61.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
19.1%
Your model implies
7.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 19% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | -1.5% | -4.0% |
| 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| 7.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| 8.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.06
Low vs growth
Net cash
$1.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.46
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Newmont (NEM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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