NXPI dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.13), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, NXPI sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 23, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.13
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.13 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.39% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.60% | +0.44pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 19 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$1.01
Per-event yield
0.34%
Annualized yield
1.38%
Previously paid
Jun 24, 2026 ($1.01)
Last record date
Jun 24, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 9, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for NXP Semiconductors (NXPI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.01 | -0.29% | $299.94 | 2 | yes | yes | -10.97% | -6.58% | |
| Q1 | $1.01 | 1.43% | $196.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.97% | +0.10% | |
| Q4 | $1.01 | -0.21% | $228.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.64% | -1.67% | |
| Q3 | $1.01 | -0.14% | $220.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.11% | +3.48% | |
| Q2 | $1.01 | -0.45% | $218.51 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.15% | +6.25% | |
| Q1 | $1.01 | -0.44% | $207.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.37% | -0.16% | |
| Q4 | $1.01 | -0.53% | $223.66 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.42% | -2.20% | |
| Q3 | $1.01 | -1.24% | $230.87 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.68% | +3.84% | |
| Q2 | $1.01 | -3.87% | $282.99 | 19 | no | yes | -6.97% | -3.87% | |
| Q1 | $1.01 | -0.34% | $236.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.77% | +4.26% | |
| Q4 | $1.01 | -0.43% | $220.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.37% | +4.46% | |
| Q3 | $1.01 | -1.31% | $203.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.14% | -1.64% | |
| Q2 | $1.01 | 0.45% | $189.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.45% | +2.61% | |
| Q1 | $1.01 | 1.34% | $174.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +3.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.85 | -0.62% | $174.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.43% | -5.76% | |
| Q3 | $0.85 | -0.54% | $155.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.53% | +2.93% | |
| Q2 | $0.85 | 0.08% | $168.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.21% | -6.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.85 | -0.10% | $178.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.67% | +7.17% | |
| Q4 | $0.56 | -1.30% | $221.79 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.31% | +1.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.56 | 0.62% | $214.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.37% | -3.79% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with NXPI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical NXPI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.24%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+4.76%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+45.63%
Best event
+0.58%
Worst event
-3.87%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · NXPI (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.26% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.43% | |
| -3.87% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.34% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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