Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NXPI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$63,783.65
Method range
$65.72 – $63,783.65
median $265.28
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $63,783.65 | +22,777.92% |
| Exit multiple | $276.97 | -0.66% |
| Analyst target | $253.60 | -9.04% |
| Graham number | $65.72 | -76.43% |
- Forward DCF$63,783.65
- Exit multiple$276.97
- Analyst target$253.60
- Graham number$65.72
Stock price
$278.80
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.83
3Y FCF CAGR
3.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$27.82
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
38.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -902.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.6%
Your model implies
38.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 35.0% | 34.4% | 33.8% | 33.2% | 32.5% |
| 12.7% | 37.1% | 36.6% | 36.1% | 35.5% | 34.9% |
| 13.7% | 39.2% | 38.7% | 38.2% | 37.7% | 37.2% |
| 14.7% | 41.2% | 40.8% | 40.3% | 39.8% | 39.3% |
| 15.0% | 41.8% | 41.4% | 40.9% | 40.5% | 40.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.07
Low vs growth
Net debt
$8.96B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.81
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.