Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NXPI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$65,902.53
Method range
$65.72 – $65,902.53
median $258.51
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $65,902.53 | +22,167.38% |
| Exit multiple | $274.43 | -7.28% |
| Analyst target | $242.60 | -18.03% |
| Graham number | $65.72 | -77.79% |
- Forward DCF$65,902.53
- Exit multiple$274.43
- Analyst target$242.60
- Graham number$65.72
Stock price
$295.96
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.83
3Y FCF CAGR
5.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$31.38
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
38.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -843.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.2%
Your model implies
38.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5% | 35.4% | 34.8% | 34.2% | 33.6% | 32.9% |
| 12.5% | 37.6% | 37.1% | 36.5% | 35.9% | 35.3% |
| 13.5% | 39.7% | 39.2% | 38.7% | 38.2% | 37.6% |
| 14.5% | 41.7% | 41.3% | 40.8% | 40.3% | 39.8% |
| 15.0% | 42.7% | 42.3% | 41.9% | 41.4% | 40.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.07
Low vs growth
Net debt
$9.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.79
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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