Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what O is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$18.41
Method range
$18.32 – $71.12
median $43.27
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $18.41 | -69.74% |
| Exit multiple | $71.12 | +16.89% |
| Analyst target | $68.14 | +12.00% |
| Graham number | $18.32 | -69.90% |
- Forward DCF$18.41
- Exit multiple$71.12
- Analyst target$68.14
- Graham number$18.32
Stock price
$60.84
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.94
3Y FCF CAGR
8.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$26.95
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
19.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -125.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
8.9%
Your model implies
19.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 9% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
| 7.3% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.3% |
| 8.3% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| 9.3% | 23.6% | 22.9% | 22.2% | 21.4% | 20.6% |
| 10.3% | 25.8% | 25.2% | 24.6% | 23.9% | 23.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
14.20
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$32.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.76
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Realty Income (O) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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