Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what O is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$18.47
Method range
$18.32 – $68.77
median $42.97
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $18.47 | -71.60% |
| Exit multiple | $68.77 | +5.76% |
| Analyst target | $67.47 | +3.75% |
| Graham number | $18.32 | -71.84% |
- Forward DCF$18.47
- Exit multiple$68.77
- Analyst target$67.47
- Graham number$18.32
Stock price
$65.03
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.94
3Y FCF CAGR
8.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$27.05
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
20.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -140.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
8.9%
Your model implies
20.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 9% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% |
| 7.3% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 15.1% |
| 8.3% | 22.0% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 18.4% |
| 9.3% | 24.5% | 23.8% | 23.0% | 22.2% | 21.4% |
| 10.3% | 26.7% | 26.1% | 25.5% | 24.8% | 24.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
14.83
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$32.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.73
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Realty Income (O) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.18% TTM
- Dividend Profile4.98% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History2 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.