OKE dividend capture — median 3d pre-ex touch, 85% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
ONEOK (OKE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 3 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.60), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, OKE sits noticeably below the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Nov 2, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
85%
Median days-to-touch
3d
Signal-to-noise
0.60
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 3d | +2.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.60 | +0.29 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.53% | -0.79pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 58% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.01% | +0.16pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$1.07
Per-event yield
1.18%
Annualized yield
4.81%
Previously paid
Aug 3, 2026 ($1.07)
Last record date
Aug 3, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 14, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for ONEOK (OKE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $1.07 | -2.61% | $90.81 | >30 | no | no | -3.70% | — | |
| Q2 | $1.07 | -0.97% | $90.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.41% | -1.66% | |
| Q1 | $1.07 | -2.99% | $79.19 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.92% | +6.33% | |
| Q4 | $1.03 | -1.49% | $67.00 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.45% | +2.88% | |
| Q3 | $1.03 | -2.23% | $82.11 | >30 | no | no | -11.07% | -8.06% | |
| Q2 | $1.03 | -1.90% | $82.78 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.09% | +3.97% | |
| Q1 | $1.03 | -2.02% | $97.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.68% | +2.62% | |
| Q4 | $0.99 | -0.23% | $96.88 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.18% | +11.63% | |
| Q3 | $0.99 | -0.90% | $83.33 | 5 | yes | yes | -7.70% | +3.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.99 | -1.30% | $81.42 | 11 | no | yes | -6.37% | -2.53% | |
| Q1 | $0.99 | -1.41% | $70.44 | 14 | no | yes | -4.81% | -1.93% | |
| Q4 | $0.96 | -1.66% | $65.61 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.48% | +0.07% | |
| Q3 | $0.96 | -1.07% | $67.22 | >30 | no | no | -6.20% | -1.58% | |
| Q2 | $0.96 | -1.70% | $65.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.03% | +0.25% | |
| Q1 | $0.96 | -1.42% | $69.54 | 11 | no | yes | -4.01% | -0.04% | |
| Q4 | $0.94 | -1.94% | $59.72 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.15% | +5.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.94 | -0.43% | $60.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.00% | -1.47% | |
| Q2 | $0.94 | -1.15% | $66.92 | 4 | yes | yes | -8.32% | -0.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.94 | -1.78% | $60.17 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.34% | +6.07% | |
| Q4 | $0.94 | -1.45% | $65.50 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.28% | +0.24% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 4 | 20% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
Pre-filled with OKE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical OKE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (19 events)
+0.26%
Win rate (19 trades)
74%
Cumulative P&L
+4.85%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+64.92%
Best event
+1.57%
Worst event
-8.06%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
19 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · OKE (19)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.43% | |
| +1.55% | |
| +1.40% | |
| +1.55% | |
| +1.57% | |
| -0.04% | |
| +1.46% | |
| -1.58% | |
| +1.46% | |
| -1.93% | |
| -2.53% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +1.24% | |
| -8.06% | |
| +1.54% | |
| +1.35% | |
| +1.18% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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