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Fair Value for ONEOK (OKE)

See growth priced into ONEOK (OKE): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what OKE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$850.48

Margin of safety
+89.21% vs current price $91.75

Method range

$31.29 $850.48

median $91.22

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$850.48
  • Exit multiple$89.95
  • Analyst target$92.50
  • Graham number$31.29

Stock price

$91.75

FCF / share (TTM)

$0.11

3Y FCF CAGR

-1.6%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$1.46

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

56.1%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -6,204.7% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

-1.6%

Your model implies

56.1%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)8.2%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)-2%
3Y CAGR -2%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -2% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
6.2%50.8%49.2%47.4%45.4%43.1%
7.2%54.8%53.5%52.1%50.5%48.7%
8.2%58.5%57.3%56.1%54.8%53.3%
9.2%61.8%60.8%59.8%58.7%57.4%
10.2%65.0%64.1%63.2%62.2%61.1%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday13.5
5Y low12.8
Median17.1
5Y high19.3
P/SToday1.4
5Y low1.3
Median1.5
5Y high2.7
EV/EBITDAToday10.2· at low
5Y low10.2
Median12.1
5Y high13.7

Net debt

$32.7B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.71

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions