Omnicom Group (OMC) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 89% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.39), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, OMC sits roughly in line with the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 9, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 89%-1pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 2d+1.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.39+0.12 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 89% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.39 | +0.12 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.79% | -0.30pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.01% | +0.74pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 20 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.80 |
| Per-event yield | 0.99% |
| Annualized yield | 4.19% |
| Previously paid | Mar 11, 2026 ($0.80) |
| Last record date | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 9, 2026 |
OMC Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Omnicom Group (OMC). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.80 | 0.01% | $80.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.53% | -5.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.80 | -0.93% | $81.66 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.35% | -0.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -1.61% | $78.33 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.86% | +0.13% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | -0.15% | $71.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.44% | -2.28% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -1.09% | $85.51 | >30 | no | no | -7.98% | -3.93% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -0.30% | $87.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.79% | -1.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -0.86% | $103.90 | 6 | no | yes | -3.27% | -0.51% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | -1.04% | $91.09 | 7 | no | yes | -3.97% | -0.34% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -0.70% | $92.74 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.15% | +0.24% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -0.13% | $85.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.31% | +1.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -1.02% | $76.77 | 20 | no | yes | -5.95% | -3.49% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | -0.84% | $94.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.59% | +1.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -0.79% | $90.06 | 9 | no | yes | -6.88% | -2.28% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -0.60% | $77.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.93% | +5.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -1.68% | $68.00 | 18 | no | yes | -9.04% | -6.57% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | -0.96% | $71.51 | >30 | no | no | -13.76% | -12.28% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | 2.11% | $74.89 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.72% | +13.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -2.34% | $73.03 | 6 | no | yes | -4.05% | +1.64% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -2.02% | $73.09 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.13% | +4.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | -0.18% | $83.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.20% | -2.41% |
- -5.06%
- -0.48%
- +0.13%
- -2.28%
- -3.93%
- -1.56%
- -0.51%
- -0.34%
- +0.24%
- +1.73%
- -3.49%
- +1.58%
- -2.28%
- +5.20%
- -6.57%
- -12.28%
- +13.18%
- +1.64%
- +4.65%
- -2.41%
OMC Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 8 | 40% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
OMC Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with OMC's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $160.00
- After-tax dividend
- $104.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$16.20
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$87.80
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.54%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~27.3%
OMC Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical OMC ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · OMC (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.84% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +1.64% | |
| +0.93% | |
| -12.28% | |
| -6.57% | |
| +0.91% | |
| -2.28% | |
| +0.74% | |
| -3.49% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.75% | |
| -0.34% | |
| -0.51% | |
| +0.80% | |
| -3.93% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +0.99% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.