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Fair Value for Omnicom Group (OMC)

See growth priced into Omnicom Group (OMC): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what OMC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$23.28

Above fair value
-240.96% vs current price $79.38

Method range

$23.28 $121.55

median $75.80

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$23.28
  • Exit multiple$121.55
  • Analyst target$106.33
  • Graham number$45.27

Stock price

$79.38

EPS (TTM)

$1.08

5Y EPS CAGR

4.2%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$23.28

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

20.1%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -241.0% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

4.2%

Your model implies

20.1%

Analyst consensus for next year implies 880% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)8.0%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
6.0%16.0%14.8%13.4%11.8%9.9%
7.0%19.1%18.1%17.0%15.8%14.4%
8.0%21.9%21.0%20.1%19.1%18.0%
9.0%24.4%23.7%22.9%22.0%21.1%
10.0%26.7%26.1%25.4%24.7%23.9%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday11.4
5Y low11.2
Median12.4
5Y high14.2
P/SToday0.9· at low
5Y low0.9
Median1.1
5Y high1.2
EV/EBITDAToday26.9· at high
5Y low7.2
Median8.0
5Y high26.9

Net debt

$5.9B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.66

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: -0.27 to 7.46 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions