Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what OMC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$23.75
Method range
$23.75 – $120.69
median $75.80
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $23.75 | -68.46% |
| Exit multiple | $120.69 | +60.26% |
| Analyst target | $106.33 | +41.19% |
| Graham number | $45.27 | -39.89% |
- Forward DCF$23.75
- Exit multiple$120.69
- Analyst target$106.33
- Graham number$45.27
Stock price
$75.31
EPS (TTM)
$1.08
5Y EPS CAGR
4.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$23.75
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
19.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -217.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
4.2%
Your model implies
19.1%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 872% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.8% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| 6.8% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 13.3% |
| 7.8% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 17.0% |
| 8.8% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 21.9% | 21.0% | 20.1% |
| 9.8% | 25.8% | 25.1% | 24.4% | 23.7% | 22.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.66
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Omnicom Group (OMC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation