Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ON is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$5.06
Method range
$5.06 – $117.00
median $30.04
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $5.06 | -94.52% |
| Exit multiple | $46.11 | -50.06% |
| Analyst target | $117.00 | +26.72% |
| Graham number | $13.98 | -84.86% |
- Forward DCF$5.06
- Exit multiple$46.11
- Analyst target$117.00
- Graham number$13.98
Stock price
$92.33
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.55
3Y FCF CAGR
4.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$5.18
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
48.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,682.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
4.3%
Your model implies
48.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | 45.4% | 44.9% | 44.3% | 43.7% | 43.0% |
| 13.7% | 47.6% | 47.1% | 46.6% | 46.0% | 45.5% |
| 14.7% | 49.8% | 49.3% | 48.8% | 48.3% | 47.8% |
| 15.0% | 50.4% | 49.9% | 49.4% | 48.9% | 48.4% |
| 15.0% | 50.4% | 49.9% | 49.4% | 48.9% | 48.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.65
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$1.32B
Total debt − cash
Beta
2.01
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
ON Semiconductor (ON) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.