Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what OXY is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$128.96
Method range
$55.49 – $128.96
median $61.77
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $128.96 | +126.53% |
| Exit multiple | $61.24 | +7.57% |
| Analyst target | $62.31 | +9.45% |
| Graham number | $55.49 | -2.53% |
- Forward DCF$128.96
- Exit multiple$61.24
- Analyst target$62.31
- Graham number$55.49
Stock price
$56.93
EPS (TTM)
$4.01
5Y EPS CAGR
0.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$128.96
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-8.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 55.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
0.5%
Your model implies
-8.8%
Next-year analyst consensus
37.0%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -6.9% | -8.1% | -9.4% | -11.1% | -13.3% |
| 5.0% | -6.9% | -8.1% | -9.4% | -11.1% | -13.3% |
| 5.2% | -6.4% | -7.5% | -8.8% | -10.4% | -12.4% |
| 6.2% | -3.8% | -4.6% | -5.6% | -6.7% | -8.0% |
| 7.2% | -1.5% | -2.2% | -2.9% | -3.8% | -4.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$22.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.12
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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