Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what POOL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$165.95
Method range
$32.04 – $298.19
median $216.58
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $165.95 | -15.41% |
| Exit multiple | $298.19 | +51.99% |
| Analyst target | $267.20 | +36.19% |
| Graham number | $32.04 | -83.67% |
- Forward DCF$165.95
- Exit multiple$298.19
- Analyst target$267.20
- Graham number$32.04
Stock price
$196.19
FCF / share (TTM)
$8.51
3Y FCF CAGR
5.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$141.52
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
9.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -38.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.1%
Your model implies
9.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% |
| 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.50
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.43B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.05
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Pool (POOL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks8.65% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.57% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History6 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.