Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what POOL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$164.48
Method range
$32.04 – $296.99
median $219.74
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $164.48 | -11.34% |
| Exit multiple | $296.99 | +60.08% |
| Analyst target | $275.00 | +48.23% |
| Graham number | $32.04 | -82.73% |
- Forward DCF$164.48
- Exit multiple$296.99
- Analyst target$275.00
- Graham number$32.04
Stock price
$185.52
FCF / share (TTM)
$8.51
3Y FCF CAGR
5.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$140.24
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
8.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -32.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.1%
Your model implies
8.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% |
| 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.50
Low vs growth
Net debt
$244M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.09
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Pool (POOL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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