Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what RACE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$858.20
Method range
$40.11 – $858.20
median $425.97
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $858.20 | +147.33% |
| Exit multiple | $400.69 | +15.47% |
| Analyst target | $451.25 | +30.05% |
| Graham number | $40.11 | -88.44% |
- Forward DCF$858.20
- Exit multiple$400.69
- Analyst target$451.25
- Graham number$40.11
Stock price
$346.99
FCF / share (TTM)
$4.13
3Y FCF CAGR
49.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2725.55
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
20.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 87.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
49.9%
Your model implies
20.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 50% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 9.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% |
| 6.5% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 14.3% |
| 7.5% | 22.5% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 18.2% |
| 8.5% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 23.5% | 22.6% | 21.6% |
| 9.5% | 27.6% | 27.0% | 26.2% | 25.4% | 24.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
3.37
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$1.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.59
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Ferrari (RACE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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