Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what RACE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$838.06
Method range
$40.11 – $838.06
median $422.63
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $838.06 | +125.52% |
| Exit multiple | $396.93 | +6.81% |
| Analyst target | $448.33 | +20.65% |
| Graham number | $40.11 | -89.21% |
- Forward DCF$838.06
- Exit multiple$396.93
- Analyst target$448.33
- Graham number$40.11
Stock price
$371.61
FCF / share (TTM)
$4.13
3Y FCF CAGR
49.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2,655.97
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
21.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 86.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
49.9%
Your model implies
21.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 50% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 9.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% |
| 6.6% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 15.5% |
| 7.6% | 23.7% | 22.8% | 21.8% | 20.7% | 19.5% |
| 8.6% | 26.4% | 25.6% | 24.7% | 23.8% | 22.8% |
| 9.6% | 28.8% | 28.2% | 27.4% | 26.6% | 25.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
3.35
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$1.42B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.59
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Ferrari (RACE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.