Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ROKU is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2.83
Method range
$2.83 – $326.07
median $80.19
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2.83 | -97.68% |
| Exit multiple | $326.07 | +166.70% |
| Analyst target | $145.00 | +18.60% |
| Graham number | $15.39 | -87.42% |
- Forward DCF$2.83
- Exit multiple$326.07
- Analyst target$145.00
- Graham number$15.39
Stock price
$122.26
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.33
3Y FCF CAGR
24.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$46.30
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
39.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -164.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
24.3%
Your model implies
39.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 24% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.7% | 36.0% | 35.5% | 35.0% | 34.4% | 33.8% |
| 13.7% | 38.1% | 37.6% | 37.1% | 36.6% | 36.1% |
| 14.7% | 40.1% | 39.6% | 39.2% | 38.7% | 38.2% |
| 15.0% | 40.7% | 40.3% | 39.8% | 39.4% | 38.9% |
| 15.0% | 40.7% | 40.3% | 39.8% | 39.4% | 38.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
5.50
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$715M
Total debt − cash
Beta
2.03
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Roku (ROKU) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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