Ticker League

Fair Value for RTX (RTX)

See growth priced into RTX (RTX): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what RTX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$87.48

Above fair value
-106.88% vs current price $180.99

Method range

$41.11 $224.33

median $153.24

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$87.48
  • Exit multiple$218.99
  • Analyst target$224.33
  • Graham number$41.11

Stock price

$180.99

FCF / share (TTM)

$0.90

3Y FCF CAGR

16.8%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$83.68

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

26.7%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -116.3% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

16.8%

Your model implies

26.7%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)6.1%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)17%
3Y CAGR 17%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 17% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
5.0%25.4%23.6%21.5%19.0%15.8%
5.1%25.7%23.9%21.8%19.4%16.3%
6.1%29.6%28.3%26.7%25.0%22.9%
7.1%33.1%32.0%30.8%29.4%27.8%
8.1%36.2%35.3%34.2%33.1%31.9%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday36.5
5Y low28.7
Median33.4
5Y high37.6
P/SToday2.8· at high
5Y low1.7
Median2.0
5Y high2.8
EV/EBITDAToday18.6· at high
5Y low14.1
Median15.3
5Y high18.6

PEG

1.19

Fair vs growth

Net debt

$32.1B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.30

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions