Ticker League

Fair Value for RTX (RTX)

See growth priced into RTX (RTX): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what RTX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$85.21

Above fair value
-128.71% vs current price $194.88

Method range

$41.11 $223.63

median $152.26

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$85.21
  • Exit multiple$219.32
  • Analyst target$223.63
  • Graham number$41.11

Stock price

$194.88

FCF / share (TTM)

$0.90

3Y FCF CAGR

16.8%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$80.99

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

28.2%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -140.6% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

16.8%

Your model implies

28.2%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)6.2%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)17%
3Y CAGR 17%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 17% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
5.0%26.4%24.6%22.5%19.9%16.7%
5.2%27.1%25.4%23.4%21.0%18.0%
6.2%31.0%29.7%28.2%26.4%24.4%
7.2%34.5%33.4%32.2%30.8%29.3%
8.2%37.6%36.7%35.6%34.5%33.3%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday36.5
5Y low28.7
Median33.5
5Y high37.6
P/SToday2.8· at high
5Y low1.7
Median2.0
5Y high2.8
EV/EBITDAToday18.6· at high
5Y low14.1
Median15.3
5Y high18.6

PEG

1.19

Fair vs growth

Net debt

$32.1B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.30

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions