Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SAP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$152.27
Method range
$43.87 – $240.00
median $191.40
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $152.27 | +2.36% |
| Exit multiple | $230.53 | +54.98% |
| Analyst target | $240.00 | +61.34% |
| Graham number | $43.87 | -70.51% |
- Forward DCF$152.27
- Exit multiple$230.53
- Analyst target$240.00
- Graham number$43.87
Stock price
$148.75
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.82
3Y FCF CAGR
9.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$84.76
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
17.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -75.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.6%
Your model implies
17.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 10% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| 7.4% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% |
| 8.4% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 15.1% |
| 9.4% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 19.5% | 18.8% | 17.9% |
| 10.4% | 23.0% | 22.5% | 21.9% | 21.2% | 20.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
4.41
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$149M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.74
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
SAP (SAP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks2.32% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.98% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.