SBA Communications (SBAC) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.14), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, SBAC sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 17, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.14-0.29 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.14 | -0.29 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.33% | +0.54pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.80% | +1.91pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 8 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $1.25 |
| Per-event yield | 0.68% |
| Annualized yield | 2.30% |
| Previously paid | Mar 13, 2026 ($1.25) |
| Last record date | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 27, 2026 |
SBAC Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for SBA Communications (SBAC). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.25 | 0.78% | $184.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.08% | -5.05% | |
| Q4 | $1.11 | -0.68% | $201.63 | >30 | no | no | -4.79% | -2.61% | |
| Q3 | $1.11 | -1.80% | $223.71 | 2 | yes | yes | -13.75% | -7.40% | |
| Q2 | $1.11 | -0.36% | $231.90 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.81% | +0.47% | |
| Q1 | $1.11 | -0.05% | $216.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.06% | +2.59% | |
| Q4 | $0.98 | -1.34% | $218.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.56% | +0.87% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -0.52% | $219.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.82% | +3.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | -0.75% | $198.37 | 8 | no | yes | -6.52% | -2.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | 0.15% | $220.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.11% | -1.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.85 | -1.67% | $233.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.70% | +0.18% | |
| Q3 | $0.85 | 0.16% | $218.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.20% | +4.52% | |
| Q2 | $0.85 | -0.37% | $224.24 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.51% | +1.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.85 | -0.29% | $250.81 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.65% | +3.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.71 | 0.14% | $295.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.31% | +1.06% | |
| Q3 | $0.71 | -0.44% | $333.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.31% | -2.33% | |
| Q2 | $0.71 | -0.72% | $325.37 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.96% | +6.67% | |
| Q1 | $0.71 | 1.44% | $324.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.79% | +0.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.58 | -0.01% | $347.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.39% | +2.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.58 | 0.01% | $352.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.29% | +4.06% | |
| Q2 | $0.58 | -0.45% | $291.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.07% | +2.65% |
- -5.05%
- -2.61%
- -7.40%
- +0.47%
- +2.59%
- +0.87%
- +3.75%
- -2.11%
- -1.67%
- +0.18%
- +4.52%
- +1.01%
- +3.38%
- +1.06%
- -2.33%
- +6.67%
- +0.51%
- +2.21%
- +4.06%
- +2.65%
SBAC Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
SBAC Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with SBAC's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $250.00
- After-tax dividend
- $162.50
- Slippage round-trip
- -$36.95
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$125.55
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.34%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~17.1%
SBAC Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical SBAC ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · SBAC (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.20% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.44% | |
| -2.11% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.50% | |
| -2.61% | |
| +0.68% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.