Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SMCI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$655.81
Method range
$15.18 – $655.81
median $36.83
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $655.81 | +2,045.97% |
| Exit multiple | $31.33 | +2.53% |
| Analyst target | $42.33 | +38.51% |
| Graham number | $15.18 | -50.32% |
- Forward DCF$655.81
- Exit multiple$31.33
- Analyst target$42.33
- Graham number$15.18
Stock price
$30.56
EPS (TTM)
$1.89
5Y EPS CAGR
60.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$655.81
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
12.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 95.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
60.0%
Your model implies
12.2%
Next-year analyst consensus
65.0%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% |
| 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% |
| 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% |
| 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.34
Low vs growth
Net cash
$391M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.94
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.