Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what SNA is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$425.63
Method range
$110.87 – $425.63
median $346.73
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $425.63 | +12.08% |
| Exit multiple | $278.12 | -26.77% |
| Analyst target | $415.33 | +9.36% |
| Graham number | $110.87 | -70.81% |
- Forward DCF$425.63
- Exit multiple$278.12
- Analyst target$415.33
- Graham number$110.87
Stock price
$379.77
FCF / share (TTM)
$6.70
3Y FCF CAGR
14.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$311.16
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
17.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -22.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
14.9%
Your model implies
17.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 15% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| 7.2% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| 8.2% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 15.6% |
| 9.2% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 18.5% |
| 10.2% | 23.7% | 23.1% | 22.5% | 21.8% | 21.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$298M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.74
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Snap-on (SNA) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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