Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what STT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$160.65
Method range
$78.43 – $161.50
median $147.97
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $160.65 | -0.68% |
| Exit multiple | $135.30 | -16.35% |
| Analyst target | $161.50 | -0.15% |
| Graham number | $78.43 | -51.51% |
- Forward DCF$160.65
- Exit multiple$135.30
- Analyst target$161.50
- Graham number$78.43
Stock price
$161.75
EPS (TTM)
$9.85
5Y EPS CAGR
8.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$160.65
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
8.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -0.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
8.3%
Your model implies
8.4%
Next-year analyst consensus
26.2%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
| 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% |
| 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
3.53
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$101.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.46
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
State Street (STT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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