Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what THFF is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$337.91
Method range
$45.47 – $337.91
median $56.08
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $337.91 | +375.40% |
| Exit multiple | $62.16 | -12.54% |
| Analyst target | $50.00 | -29.66% |
| Graham number | $45.47 | -36.04% |
- Forward DCF$337.91
- Exit multiple$62.16
- Analyst target$50.00
- Graham number$45.47
Stock price
$71.08
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.85
3Y FCF CAGR
17.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$146.08
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
8.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 51.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
17.1%
Your model implies
8.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 17% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | -0.2% | -2.8% |
| 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| 7.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| 8.7% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$350M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.43
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
First Financial (THFF) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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