TKO dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 93% /30d touch rate over 15 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
TKO Group Holdings (TKO) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 93% of the last 15 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.13), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TKO sits roughly in line with the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 14, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
93%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.13
TL;DR over the most recent 15 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 93% | +3pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.13 | -0.16 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.52% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.41% | +1.53pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 1 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.79
Per-event yield
0.39%
Annualized yield
1.55%
Previously paid
Jun 15, 2026 ($0.79)
Last record date
Jun 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 30, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for TKO Group Holdings (TKO). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.79 | -0.11% | $203.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.27% | +0.06% | |
| Q1 | $0.78 | 0.41% | $194.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.55% | +0.25% | |
| Q4 | $0.78 | -0.95% | $208.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.27% | +3.77% | |
| Q3 | $0.76 | 2.01% | $202.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.84% | -0.99% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -0.85% | $163.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.82% | +7.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | 0.84% | $140.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.97% | +6.68% | |
| Q3 | $3.86 | -8.18% | $104.73 | >30 | no | no | -23.20% | -17.57% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | 0.26% | $101.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.46% | +0.14% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | 0.45% | $80.16 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.32% | +7.58% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.84% | $73.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.57% | -4.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.06% | $68.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.12% | -1.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | 0.23% | $63.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.03% | -5.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -0.39% | $56.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.43% | +5.49% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.87% | $48.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.51% | -0.85% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 0.26% | $53.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.33% | +3.43% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.30% | $62.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.90% | -7.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -0.63% | $58.28 | 9 | no | yes | -5.34% | -1.78% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | 0.57% | $44.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.11% | +4.66% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 1.74% | $41.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.50% | -4.64% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | 1.66% | $43.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.39% | +3.16% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with TKO's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical TKO ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.74%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
-14.81%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+379.02%
Best event
+0.40%
Worst event
-17.57%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TKO (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.27% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.27% | |
| -1.78% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.12% | |
| -17.57% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.39% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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