Ticker League

Fair Value for Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

See growth priced into Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what TMO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$278.17

Above fair value
-89.26% vs current price $526.46

Method range

$118.08 $743.48

median $431.68

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$278.17
  • Exit multiple$743.48
  • Analyst target$585.18
  • Graham number$118.08

Stock price

$526.46

EPS (TTM)

$18.19

5Y EPS CAGR

2.1%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$278.17

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

10.6%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -89.3% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

2.1%

Your model implies

10.6%

Next-year analyst consensus

36.6%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)9.0%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%7.2%6.4%5.5%4.5%3.3%
8.0%9.6%8.9%8.2%7.3%6.4%
9.0%11.8%11.2%10.6%9.9%9.1%
10.0%13.8%13.3%12.8%12.1%11.5%
11.0%15.8%15.3%14.8%14.3%13.7%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday32.6
5Y low31.1
Median32.6
5Y high34.2
P/SToday4.9
5Y low4.6
Median4.8
5Y high6.7
EV/EBITDAToday21.7
5Y low19.3
Median20.8
5Y high24.6

Net debt

$31B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.87

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: 3.21 to 19.46 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions