Toll Brothers (TOL) — Daily Price Character
Historical session stats from dividend-adjusted prices: win rate, streaks, record days, weekday patterns, and (when available) how often the stock was green on S&P 500 green days.
Archetype
Explosive
High daily volatility — frequent large price swings.
Win rate
45.5%
4580 green · 4605 red · 870 flat · 10055 sessions
Current streak
1 red
As of Jun 5, 2026
Max win / lose streak
10 / 11 days
Win streak return: +7.20% · Lose: 13.84%
Median / σ daily
+0.000% · 2.939%
Avg green +2.26% · avg red 2.05%
Extreme days (>3%)
21.5%
1150 up · 1014 down
History from Jul 9, 1986 through Jun 5, 2026 · 10055 trading days with returns.
Trailing year — daily returns (calendar)
Jun 6, 2025 – Jun 5, 2026 · Mon–Fri sessions only
Monday–Friday — average return
Average dividend-adjusted return on that weekday (green / red by sign). Green/red day rule: ±0.01% vs prior close.
Monday–Friday — win rate
Share of sessions that closed green on that weekday. Bars are green at or above 50%, red below 50%.
Top green days
Largest single-session gains (dividend-adjusted), by historical return.
| Date | Return |
|---|---|
| Oct 21, 1987 | +41.38% |
| Mar 24, 2020 | +39.01% |
| May 19, 1989 | +22.87% |
| Mar 5, 1991 | +21.54% |
| Feb 11, 1991 | +21.14% |
| Jan 3, 1990 | +20.83% |
| Mar 3, 1987 | +20.45% |
| Dec 23, 1991 | +20.22% |
| Nov 25, 1992 | +18.18% |
| Apr 6, 2020 | +17.73% |
| Oct 1, 1990 | +16.67% |
| Nov 11, 2009 | +16.44% |
| Feb 4, 1991 | +16.00% |
| Dec 17, 1987 | +15.38% |
| Mar 23, 2000 | +15.04% |
| Feb 12, 1991 | +14.86% |
| Jun 28, 1991 | +14.56% |
| Apr 17, 1991 | +14.49% |
| Aug 12, 2009 | +14.38% |
| Nov 24, 2008 | +14.25% |
Worst red days
Largest single-session losses; "Days to recovery" counts trading sessions until close recovered the prior peak (dividend-adjusted).
| Date | Return | Days to recovery |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 1987 | 48.58% | 2690 |
| Mar 16, 2020 | 29.27% | 38 |
| Oct 19, 1987 | 28.82% | 73 |
| Oct 26, 1987 | 19.86% | 4 |
| Mar 17, 2020 | 17.90% | 5 |
| Sep 18, 1998 | 15.03% | 475 |
| Feb 26, 2020 | 14.62% | 124 |
| Aug 22, 1990 | 14.29% | 7 |
| Oct 23, 1987 | 14.02% | 69 |
| Nov 8, 2005 | 13.96% | 41 |
| Dec 1, 2008 | 13.77% | 3 |
| Jun 16, 1993 | 13.27% | 84 |
| Mar 23, 2020 | 12.75% | 1 |
| Mar 12, 2020 | 11.99% | 52 |
| Feb 16, 1993 | 11.98% | 170 |
| Jan 10, 1996 | 11.68% | 398 |
| Apr 27, 1998 | 11.58% | 577 |
| Jul 21, 1993 | 11.29% | 7 |
| Jun 11, 2020 | 11.10% | 23 |
| Apr 20, 1992 | 10.89% | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the daily win rate for Toll Brothers (TOL)?
Historically, Toll Brothers (TOL) closed green on 45.5% of trading days (4580 green, 4605 red, 870 flat), using dividend-adjusted closes and a ±0.01% threshold for green vs red.
What is the current winning or losing streak for Toll Brothers (TOL)?
As of 2026-06-05, Toll Brothers (TOL) is on a 1-day losing streak (consecutive green or red days by the same rules, ignoring trailing flat days).
What does Steady, Balanced, or Explosive mean for Toll Brothers (TOL)?
We label Toll Brothers (TOL) as "explosive" based on the sample standard deviation of daily returns: High daily volatility — frequent large price swings.
What were the best and worst single trading days for Toll Brothers (TOL)?
Largest single-day gain: +41.38%. Largest single-day loss: 48.58%. Tables on this page list the top record green and red days.
What counts as an "extreme" daily move for Toll Brothers (TOL)?
We treat a day as extreme if the absolute dividend-adjusted daily return exceeds 3%. About 21.5% of trading days for Toll Brothers (TOL) were extreme (1150 up, 1014 down).
Data & methodology
How are green, red, and flat days defined?
We use dividend-adjusted (or close-to-close for non-equity) daily returns. Green: return ≥ +0.01%. Red: return ≤ −0.01%. Flat: between those bounds.
How is the current streak calculated?
We count consecutive green or consecutive red days using the same thresholds. If the most recent session is flat, we skip trailing flat days and measure from the last non-flat close.
What does “vs S&P 500” mean?
On sessions where the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was green, we report how often this stock was also green. Shown only for USD equities when benchmark data exists and the symbol is not the index itself.
Where does the archetype come from?
Sample standard deviation of daily returns: low → Steady, high → Explosive, otherwise Balanced. Labels describe typical daily volatility, not quality of the investment.
Explore more
TOL Overview
Company profile, financial tools, and key metrics
TOL What If Invested
What if you had invested $1,000? See historical returns from any date.
TOL How It Makes Money
Discover visual breakdown — where revenue comes from and where it goes.
TOL Stock Seasonality
Best and worst months to invest. Historical monthly returns heatmap.
TOL Price Target Scenarios
Model bear, base, and bull cases with EPS growth and exit P/E — pre-filled from analysts and history.
TOL Buybacks
5.00% TTM buyback yield. Shareholder yield & SBC comparison.
TOL Stock Split History
4 splits on record. Dates, ratios, and cumulative multiple.
TOL Dividend Profile
Yield: 0.73%. Safety: 6/7. See full history.
TOL Dividend Calculator
How much dividend income would $1,000 have earned? Calculate from any date.
TOL Dividend Forecast
Project future income with DRIP, growth assumptions, and optional monthly contributions.
TOL Dividend Capture
Historical pre-ex touch stats, gap distribution, after-tax calculator, and a backtest simulator (limit-order vs MOC exit).
TOL Financials
Revenue, EPS, EBITDA, market cap, debt and balance sheet history with annual and quarterly data.