TROW dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
T. Rowe Price (TROW) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.47), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TROW sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 14, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.47
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.47 | +0.17 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.62% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.59% | +0.82pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 18 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$1.30
Per-event yield
1.19%
Annualized yield
4.73%
Previously paid
Jun 15, 2026 ($1.30)
Last record date
Jun 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 29, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for T. Rowe Price (TROW). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.30 | -0.02% | $109.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.78% | -2.13% | |
| Q1 | $1.30 | -0.36% | $88.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.80% | +0.78% | |
| Q4 | $1.27 | -0.88% | $104.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +1.12% | |
| Q3 | $1.27 | -0.94% | $105.63 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.78% | +0.88% | |
| Q2 | $1.27 | -2.62% | $94.58 | 7 | no | yes | -4.05% | +0.72% | |
| Q1 | $1.27 | 0.08% | $92.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.73% | +2.24% | |
| Q4 | $1.24 | -0.98% | $120.96 | >30 | no | no | -7.32% | -2.98% | |
| Q3 | $1.24 | -0.46% | $104.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +4.44% | |
| Q2 | $1.24 | -2.33% | $116.57 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.75% | +3.05% | |
| Q1 | $1.24 | -0.88% | $117.60 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.37% | +3.55% | |
| Q4 | $1.22 | 0.82% | $103.21 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.72% | +4.75% | |
| Q3 | $1.22 | -0.32% | $109.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.99% | -1.53% | |
| Q2 | $1.22 | -0.87% | $111.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.03% | -3.63% | |
| Q1 | $1.22 | 2.28% | $106.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.83% | +4.74% | |
| Q4 | $1.20 | -3.58% | $118.58 | 18 | no | yes | -9.21% | -5.99% | |
| Q3 | $1.20 | -0.59% | $116.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.55% | -4.24% | |
| Q2 | $1.20 | -0.38% | $107.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.95% | +4.29% | |
| Q1 | $1.20 | 0.22% | $136.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.57% | +7.73% | |
| Q4 | $1.08 | -0.47% | $190.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.69% | +1.64% | |
| Q3 | $1.08 | -0.20% | $216.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.47% | -5.56% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with TROW's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical TROW ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.51%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+10.13%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-38.59%
Best event
+1.47%
Worst event
-5.99%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TROW (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.50% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +1.11% | |
| +1.03% | |
| -5.99% | |
| +1.14% | |
| +1.09% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +1.18% | |
| -2.98% | |
| +1.38% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +1.20% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +1.47% | |
| +1.19% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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