Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TROW is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$75.54
Method range
$49.20 – $113.45
median $88.37
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $75.54 | -28.73% |
| Exit multiple | $113.45 | +7.04% |
| Analyst target | $101.20 | -4.52% |
| Graham number | $49.20 | -53.58% |
- Forward DCF$75.54
- Exit multiple$113.45
- Analyst target$101.20
- Graham number$49.20
Stock price
$105.99
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.99
3Y FCF CAGR
-17.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$12.74
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
15.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -731.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-17.2%
Your model implies
15.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -17% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% |
| 11.2% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.9% |
| 12.2% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 14.9% |
| 13.2% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| 14.2% | 20.1% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 18.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.84
Low vs growth
Net cash
$2.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.53
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
T. Rowe Price (TROW) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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