TRV dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Travelers Companies (TRV) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.28), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, TRV sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 10, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.25.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.28
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.28 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.33% | +0.26pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.24% | +1.16pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 8 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$1.25
Per-event yield
0.42%
Annualized yield
1.26%
Previously paid
Jun 10, 2026 ($1.25)
Last record date
Jun 10, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 30, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Travelers Companies (TRV). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.25 | 0.12% | $300.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.08% | +2.35% | |
| Q1 | $1.10 | -0.63% | $303.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.14% | +1.40% | |
| Q4 | $1.10 | -0.22% | $279.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.63% | +4.73% | |
| Q3 | $1.10 | -1.16% | $273.55 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.59% | +0.94% | |
| Q2 | $1.10 | -0.49% | $267.78 | 8 | no | yes | -3.34% | -0.85% | |
| Q1 | $1.05 | -0.83% | $257.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.73% | +3.29% | |
| Q4 | $1.05 | 0.00% | $251.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.05% | -2.87% | |
| Q3 | $1.05 | -0.31% | $241.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.84% | +0.62% | |
| Q2 | $1.05 | -0.91% | $212.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.80% | -1.77% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | -0.10% | $220.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +0.82% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | -0.25% | $183.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.47% | +0.35% | |
| Q3 | $1.00 | -0.22% | $160.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.87% | +3.95% | |
| Q2 | $1.00 | -0.58% | $175.78 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.52% | +0.68% | |
| Q1 | $0.93 | -0.32% | $177.77 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.90% | -2.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.93 | -0.10% | $188.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.67% | -1.89% | |
| Q3 | $0.93 | -0.84% | $164.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.26% | +0.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.93 | -0.04% | $175.97 | >30 | no | no | -10.01% | -7.76% | |
| Q1 | $0.88 | 1.44% | $168.45 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.45% | +6.96% | |
| Q4 | $0.88 | -0.65% | $153.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.13% | +6.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.88 | -0.46% | $158.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.13% | -0.75% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with TRV's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical TRV ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.01%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+0.14%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+103.84%
Best event
+0.62%
Worst event
-7.76%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · TRV (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.55% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.52% | |
| -7.76% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.41% | |
| -0.85% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.42% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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