Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TRV is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$3,691.90
Method range
$192.70 – $3,691.90
median $329.96
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $3,691.90 | +892.23% |
| Exit multiple | $308.80 | -17.01% |
| Analyst target | $351.11 | -5.64% |
| Graham number | $192.70 | -48.21% |
- Forward DCF$3,691.90
- Exit multiple$308.80
- Analyst target$351.11
- Graham number$192.70
Stock price
$372.08
FCF / share (TTM)
$9.10
3Y FCF CAGR
12.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$462.56
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
9.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 19.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.6%
Your model implies
9.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 13% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | -1.9% |
| 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| 7.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| 8.0% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| 9.0% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.25
Low vs growth
Net debt
$8.56B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.47
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Travelers Companies (TRV) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks7.71% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.22% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.