Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what TSLA is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$111.87
Method range
$9.43 – $452.78
median $212.72
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $111.87 | -70.09% |
| Exit multiple | $313.56 | -16.16% |
| Analyst target | $452.78 | +21.06% |
| Graham number | $9.43 | -97.48% |
- Forward DCF$111.87
- Exit multiple$313.56
- Analyst target$452.78
- Graham number$9.43
Stock price
$374.01
EPS (TTM)
$1.09
5Y EPS CAGR
38.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$111.87
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
58.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -234.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
38.8%
Your model implies
58.2%
Next-year analyst consensus
80.1%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.7% | 54.4% | 53.7% | 53.0% | 52.2% | 51.4% |
| 12.7% | 56.9% | 56.3% | 55.6% | 54.9% | 54.2% |
| 13.7% | 59.3% | 58.8% | 58.2% | 57.5% | 56.9% |
| 14.7% | 61.7% | 61.2% | 60.6% | 60.0% | 59.4% |
| 15.0% | 62.4% | 61.9% | 61.4% | 60.8% | 60.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.44
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$8.14B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.80
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Tesla (TSLA) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.