Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what VMC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$253.01
Method range
$42.52 – $324.55
median $281.53
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $253.01 | -8.93% |
| Exit multiple | $310.05 | +11.60% |
| Analyst target | $324.55 | +16.82% |
| Graham number | $42.52 | -84.70% |
- Forward DCF$253.01
- Exit multiple$310.05
- Analyst target$324.55
- Graham number$42.52
Stock price
$277.83
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.49
3Y FCF CAGR
19.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$23.83
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
56.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1,066.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
19.6%
Your model implies
56.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | 51.4% | 50.3% | 49.1% | 47.8% | 46.3% |
| 8.9% | 54.7% | 53.8% | 52.7% | 51.6% | 50.4% |
| 9.9% | 57.8% | 56.9% | 56.0% | 55.0% | 54.0% |
| 10.9% | 60.7% | 59.9% | 59.1% | 58.2% | 57.3% |
| 11.9% | 63.5% | 62.8% | 62.0% | 61.2% | 60.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$5.22B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.05
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Vulcan Materials (VMC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.55% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.73% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.