Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what VRSK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$189.35
Method range
$8.42 – $289.15
median $210.30
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $189.35 | +4.19% |
| Exit multiple | $289.15 | +59.11% |
| Analyst target | $231.25 | +27.25% |
| Graham number | $8.42 | -95.37% |
- Forward DCF$189.35
- Exit multiple$289.15
- Analyst target$231.25
- Graham number$8.42
Stock price
$181.73
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.42
3Y FCF CAGR
12.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$91.59
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
21.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -98.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.1%
Your model implies
21.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 12% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% |
| 7.2% | 20.0% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 15.6% |
| 8.2% | 22.8% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 20.1% | 19.0% |
| 9.2% | 25.3% | 24.6% | 23.8% | 23.0% | 22.1% |
| 10.2% | 27.6% | 27.0% | 26.3% | 25.6% | 24.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.25
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$2.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.73
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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