Ventas (VTR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.38), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, VTR sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 30, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.52.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.38-0.06 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.38 | -0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.40% | +0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.96% | +0.75pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 25 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.52 |
| Per-event yield | 0.64% |
| Annualized yield | 2.45% |
| Previously paid | Mar 31, 2026 ($0.52) |
| Last record date | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 16, 2026 |
VTR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Ventas (VTR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.52 | 0.24% | $81.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.98% | +3.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | -0.85% | $78.85 | 25 | no | yes | -6.38% | -4.17% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | -0.10% | $69.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.28% | +0.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.48 | -0.78% | $62.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.78% | +0.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.48 | -0.04% | $68.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.52% | -5.99% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | 0.27% | $58.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.13% | +0.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | 0.03% | $64.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.32% | -2.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -1.15% | $51.26 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.72% | +2.79% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -0.39% | $43.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.01% | -0.21% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -1.67% | $50.95 | >30 | no | no | -6.32% | -3.51% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | 0.92% | $42.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.80% | -4.98% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | 0.13% | $47.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.74% | +1.68% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -1.26% | $44.46 | 7 | no | yes | -6.07% | -0.29% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -1.47% | $45.56 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.48% | +5.93% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | 0.40% | $39.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.90% | -3.73% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | -0.08% | $51.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.20% | -0.66% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | -0.29% | $62.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.90% | -1.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -0.95% | $51.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.11% | +5.28% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.51% | $56.41 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.44% | -2.22% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | -0.41% | $57.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.02% | +0.26% |
- +3.61%
- -4.17%
- +0.19%
- +0.57%
- -5.99%
- +0.36%
- -2.03%
- +2.79%
- -0.21%
- -3.51%
- -4.98%
- +1.68%
- -0.29%
- +5.93%
- -3.73%
- -0.66%
- -1.64%
- +5.28%
- -2.22%
- +0.26%
VTR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
VTR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with VTR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $104.00
- After-tax dividend
- $67.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$16.32
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$51.28
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.31%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~15.8%
VTR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical VTR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · VTR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.78% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +0.99% | |
| -0.29% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +1.07% | |
| -3.51% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.70% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.69% | |
| -4.17% | |
| +0.64% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.