Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what VTR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2.84
Method range
$2.84 – $96.25
median $44.65
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2.84 | -96.54% |
| Exit multiple | $80.77 | -1.52% |
| Analyst target | $96.25 | +17.35% |
| Graham number | $8.53 | -89.60% |
- Forward DCF$2.84
- Exit multiple$80.77
- Analyst target$96.25
- Graham number$8.53
Stock price
$82.02
EPS (TTM)
$0.55
5Y EPS CAGR
-14.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.84
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
30.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2787.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-14.3%
Your model implies
30.5%
Next-year analyst consensus
13.5%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 26.2% | 24.9% | 23.5% | 21.8% | 20.0% |
| 7.2% | 29.4% | 28.4% | 27.2% | 26.0% | 24.5% |
| 8.2% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 30.5% | 29.5% | 28.3% |
| 9.2% | 35.1% | 34.4% | 33.5% | 32.6% | 31.6% |
| 10.2% | 37.7% | 37.0% | 36.3% | 35.5% | 34.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$12.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.73
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Ventas (VTR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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