Viatris (VTRS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 84% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.33), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, VTRS sits noticeably below the Healthcare sector benchmark of 100%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 21, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 84%-16pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.33+0.18 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 84% | -16pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.33 | +0.18 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.97% | -0.64pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 30% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.99% | -0.58pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.12 |
| Per-event yield | 0.85% |
| Annualized yield | 2.88% |
| Previously paid | Mar 9, 2026 ($0.12) |
| Last record date | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 18, 2026 |
VTRS Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Viatris (VTRS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.12 | -2.12% | $14.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.84% | -3.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.10% | $10.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.67% | +3.54% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.56% | $10.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.30% | -0.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -2.82% | $8.50 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.65% | +3.65% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -1.66% | $9.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.25% | -2.90% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.83% | $13.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.30% | +0.53% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.85% | $11.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.62% | +4.27% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.83% | $10.88 | 14 | no | yes | -5.88% | -1.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -0.49% | $12.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.35% | -2.19% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.21% | $9.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.20% | -0.85% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -1.16% | $11.16 | >30 | no | no | -10.57% | -0.36% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -1.27% | $9.47 | 10 | no | yes | -6.65% | -2.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -1.49% | $10.73 | >30 | no | no | -13.98% | -10.34% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -1.35% | $11.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.16% | +0.54% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -1.35% | $10.35 | >30 | no | no | -9.95% | -5.12% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.51% | $11.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.58% | +5.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | 0.00% | $14.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -33.47% | -27.15% | |
| Q4 | $0.11 | -0.38% | $13.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.56% | -5.05% | |
| Q3 | $0.11 | -0.41% | $14.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.61% | -1.16% | |
| Q2 | $0.11 | -0.58% | $15.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.62% | -1.54% |
- -3.74%
- +3.54%
- -0.19%
- +3.65%
- -2.90%
- +0.53%
- +4.27%
- -1.47%
- -2.19%
- -0.85%
- -0.36%
- -2.11%
- -10.34%
- +0.54%
- -5.12%
- +5.00%
- -27.15%
- -5.05%
- -1.16%
- -1.54%
VTRS Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
VTRS Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with VTRS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $24.00
- After-tax dividend
- $15.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$2.83
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$12.77
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.45%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~22.7%
VTRS Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical VTRS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · VTRS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.71% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +1.02% | |
| -5.12% | |
| +1.08% | |
| -10.34% | |
| -2.11% | |
| -0.36% | |
| +1.28% | |
| +0.97% | |
| -1.47% | |
| +1.03% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +1.24% | |
| +1.41% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +0.85% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.