Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WDC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$373.25
Method range
$76.58 – $458.07
median $272.07
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $373.25 | -27.06% |
| Exit multiple | $170.89 | -66.61% |
| Analyst target | $458.07 | -10.48% |
| Graham number | $76.58 | -85.03% |
- Forward DCF$373.25
- Exit multiple$170.89
- Analyst target$458.07
- Graham number$76.58
Stock price
$511.72
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.83
3Y FCF CAGR
5.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$27.85
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
50.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1737.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
5.4%
Your model implies
50.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 47.2% | 46.7% | 46.1% | 45.5% | 44.9% |
| 14.0% | 49.4% | 48.9% | 48.4% | 47.9% | 47.3% |
| 15.0% | 51.6% | 51.1% | 50.6% | 50.1% | 49.6% |
| 15.0% | 51.6% | 51.1% | 50.6% | 50.1% | 49.6% |
| 15.0% | 51.6% | 51.1% | 50.6% | 50.1% | 49.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.10
Low vs growth
Net debt
$3.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
2.20
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Western Digital (WDC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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