Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what WM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$396.97
Method range
$31.67 – $396.97
median $246.88
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $396.97 | +67.94% |
| Exit multiple | $239.76 | +1.43% |
| Analyst target | $254.00 | +7.45% |
| Graham number | $31.67 | -86.60% |
- Forward DCF$396.97
- Exit multiple$239.76
- Analyst target$254.00
- Graham number$31.67
Stock price
$236.38
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.11
3Y FCF CAGR
4.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$59.57
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
22.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -296.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
4.9%
Your model implies
22.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% |
| 5.9% | 21.3% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 14.8% |
| 6.9% | 24.6% | 23.5% | 22.3% | 21.0% | 19.5% |
| 7.9% | 27.5% | 26.6% | 25.6% | 24.6% | 23.4% |
| 8.9% | 30.2% | 29.4% | 28.6% | 27.7% | 26.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$22.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.45
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Waste Management (WM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.