Wynn Resorts (WYNN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 92% of the last 12 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.08), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, WYNN sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 18, 2026 (±6 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 92%-3pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.08-0.13 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 12 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 92% | -3pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.08 | -0.13 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.33% | +0.14pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.79% | -0.12pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 2 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±6 days.
| Dividend | $0.25 |
| Per-event yield | 0.22% |
| Annualized yield | 1.05% |
| Previously paid | Feb 23, 2026 ($0.25) |
| Last record date | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 4, 2026 |
WYNN Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Wynn Resorts (WYNN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.95% | $114.87 | >30 | no | no | -13.72% | -9.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.73% | $120.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.78% | +2.29% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | 0.04% | $109.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.43% | +8.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.27% | $97.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.02% | -7.19% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.28% | $90.76 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.64% | -1.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.05% | $93.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.81% | -1.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.18% | $76.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.73% | +1.57% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.28% | $97.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.66% | -2.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -0.69% | $105.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.18% | -2.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | 0.69% | $86.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.00% | +1.45% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -1.23% | $94.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.18% | +0.99% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -0.03% | $110.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.79% | -9.54% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | 0.82% | $120.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -32.90% | -13.92% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | -1.44% | $120.74 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.65% | -1.81% | |
| Q3 | $1.00 | 0.40% | $104.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.20% | +6.52% | |
| Q2 | $1.00 | -0.01% | $120.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.45% | -3.99% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | -2.47% | $127.55 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.50% | +3.88% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | -3.67% | $104.22 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.62% | +8.95% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | -1.13% | $143.87 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.01% | +1.34% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -0.40% | $190.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +2.33% |
- -9.73%
- +2.29%
- +8.37%
- -7.19%
- -1.74%
- -1.80%
- +1.57%
- -2.31%
- -2.12%
- +1.45%
- +0.99%
- -9.54%
- -13.92%
- -1.81%
- +6.52%
- -3.99%
- +3.88%
- +8.95%
- +1.34%
- +2.33%
WYNN Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
WYNN Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with WYNN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $50.00
- After-tax dividend
- $32.50
- Slippage round-trip
- -$22.97
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$9.53
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.04%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~2.1%
WYNN Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical WYNN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · WYNN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.39% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.21% | |
| -9.73% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.