Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what XYL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$254.53
Method range
$27.84 – $254.53
median $178.51
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $254.53 | +131.52% |
| Exit multiple | $205.45 | +86.88% |
| Analyst target | $151.57 | +37.87% |
| Graham number | $27.84 | -74.68% |
- Forward DCF$254.53
- Exit multiple$205.45
- Analyst target$151.57
- Graham number$27.84
Stock price
$109.94
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.07
3Y FCF CAGR
19.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.72
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
71.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2852.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
19.7%
Your model implies
71.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | 66.6% | 65.3% | 63.9% | 62.3% | 60.6% |
| 8.8% | 70.3% | 69.2% | 68.0% | 66.7% | 65.2% |
| 9.8% | 73.8% | 72.8% | 71.7% | 70.6% | 69.4% |
| 10.8% | 77.0% | 76.1% | 75.2% | 74.2% | 73.1% |
| 11.8% | 80.1% | 79.3% | 78.5% | 77.6% | 76.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$463M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.04
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Xylem (XYL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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