Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what XYL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$252.97
Method range
$27.84 – $252.97
median $178.25
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $252.97 | +117.82% |
| Exit multiple | $205.61 | +77.04% |
| Analyst target | $150.89 | +29.92% |
| Graham number | $27.84 | -76.03% |
- Forward DCF$252.97
- Exit multiple$205.61
- Analyst target$150.89
- Graham number$27.84
Stock price
$116.14
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.07
3Y FCF CAGR
19.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.70
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
72.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -3,037.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
19.7%
Your model implies
72.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | 67.6% | 66.3% | 64.9% | 63.4% | 61.7% |
| 8.8% | 71.4% | 70.2% | 69.0% | 67.7% | 66.3% |
| 9.8% | 74.9% | 73.9% | 72.8% | 71.7% | 70.5% |
| 10.8% | 78.1% | 77.2% | 76.3% | 75.3% | 74.2% |
| 11.8% | 81.3% | 80.5% | 79.6% | 78.7% | 77.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$584M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.02
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Xylem (XYL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.