YUM dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Yum! Brands (YUM) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.29), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, YUM sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 30, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.29
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.29 | +0.07 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.43% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.04% | +1.46pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 29 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.75
Per-event yield
0.49%
Annualized yield
1.92%
Previously paid
May 27, 2026 ($0.75)
Last record date
May 27, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 12, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Yum! Brands (YUM). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.75 | -0.94% | $154.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.56% | -3.13% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | -0.29% | $163.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.12% | +3.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.71 | 0.17% | $150.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.82% | -4.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.71 | -1.16% | $146.97 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.14% | -0.33% | |
| Q2 | $0.71 | -0.11% | $145.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.76% | -0.53% | |
| Q1 | $0.71 | -0.60% | $150.96 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.70% | +4.05% | |
| Q4 | $0.67 | -0.73% | $138.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.79% | +0.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.67 | -0.56% | $134.95 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.86% | +0.39% | |
| Q2 | $0.67 | -0.09% | $137.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.01% | +2.18% | |
| Q1 | $0.67 | -0.56% | $134.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.09% | +2.35% | |
| Q4 | $0.61 | -0.75% | $128.51 | 13 | no | yes | -3.74% | -1.75% | |
| Q3 | $0.61 | -0.16% | $129.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.93% | -0.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.61 | -0.23% | $130.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.57% | +3.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.61 | -0.88% | $132.04 | 29 | no | yes | -4.73% | -3.24% | |
| Q4 | $0.57 | 0.53% | $124.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.45% | +3.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.57 | -0.25% | $116.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.38% | -3.00% | |
| Q2 | $0.57 | 0.09% | $115.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.03% | +3.11% | |
| Q1 | $0.57 | 0.19% | $123.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.91% | +0.76% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.72% | $126.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.33% | +0.35% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -1.58% | $134.44 | >30 | no | no | -4.28% | -1.99% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with YUM's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical YUM ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.05%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+1.07%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+22.54%
Best event
+0.50%
Worst event
-3.24%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · YUM (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -1.99% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.46% | |
| -3.24% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.47% | |
| -1.75% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.49% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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