Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what YUM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$308.15
Method range
$163.90 – $308.15
median $178.13
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $308.15 | +108.82% |
| Exit multiple | $163.90 | +11.06% |
| Analyst target | $178.13 | +20.71% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$308.15
- Exit multiple$163.90
- Analyst target$178.13
- Graham number—
Stock price
$147.57
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.23
3Y FCF CAGR
4.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$30.49
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
25.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -384.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
4.8%
Your model implies
25.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% |
| 6.5% | 24.1% | 22.9% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 18.4% |
| 7.5% | 27.2% | 26.2% | 25.1% | 24.0% | 22.6% |
| 8.5% | 30.0% | 29.2% | 28.3% | 27.3% | 26.2% |
| 9.5% | 32.6% | 31.9% | 31.1% | 30.2% | 29.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$11.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.56
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Yum! Brands (YUM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.18% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.98% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.