AMCR dividend capture — median 4d pre-ex touch, 85% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Amcor (AMCR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 85% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 4 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.15), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AMCR sits noticeably below the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 26, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
85%
Median days-to-touch
4d
Signal-to-noise
0.15
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 85% | -10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 4d | +3.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.15 | -0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.18% | -0.76pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 25% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.93% | +0.57pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 27 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.65
Per-event yield
1.64%
Annualized yield
6.59%
Previously paid
May 28, 2026 ($0.65)
Last record date
May 28, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 17, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Amcor (AMCR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.65 | -2.87% | $39.67 | 11 | no | yes | -5.72% | -3.48% | |
| Q1 | $0.65 | -1.67% | $50.18 | >30 | no | no | -18.02% | -7.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.13 | -1.86% | $43.10 | 27 | no | yes | -6.15% | -3.41% | |
| Q3 | $0.13 | -1.08% | $41.75 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.28% | -0.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.13 | -1.20% | $45.90 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.59% | -0.48% | |
| Q1 | $0.13 | -0.78% | $51.60 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.68% | -2.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.13 | 1.35% | $51.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.93% | +3.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.13 | -1.43% | $56.10 | 13 | no | yes | -3.65% | -1.83% | |
| Q2 | $0.13 | -1.09% | $50.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.17% | -3.13% | |
| Q1 | $0.13 | -0.77% | $45.70 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.17% | +0.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.13 | -1.07% | $46.85 | 4 | yes | yes | -1.81% | +1.55% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -1.58% | $47.40 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.69% | -2.59% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -1.36% | $51.35 | 16 | no | yes | -7.21% | -5.90% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -1.41% | $56.65 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.74% | -3.40% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.50% | $59.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.83% | +3.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.59% | $59.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.47% | -0.73% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -1.23% | $65.25 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.76% | +1.26% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -0.51% | $59.40 | >30 | no | no | -9.18% | -5.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.92% | $59.80 | 16 | no | yes | -5.94% | -5.65% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -3.00% | $63.40 | >30 | no | no | -8.12% | -2.65% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 4 | 20% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 30+ | 3 | 15% |
Pre-filled with AMCR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AMCR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-1.61%
Win rate (20 trades)
60%
Cumulative P&L
-32.28%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-32.53%
Best event
+0.31%
Worst event
-7.27%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AMCR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.65% | |
| -5.65% | |
| -5.02% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.22% | |
| -5.90% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.25% | |
| -1.83% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.31% | |
| -3.41% | |
| -7.27% | |
| -3.48% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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