Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AMCR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$17.66
Method range
$17.66 – $75.94
median $32.96
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $17.66 | -59.14% |
| Exit multiple | $75.94 | +75.74% |
| Analyst target | $47.49 | +9.91% |
| Graham number | $18.42 | -57.37% |
- Forward DCF$17.66
- Exit multiple$75.94
- Analyst target$47.49
- Graham number$18.42
Stock price
$43.21
EPS (TTM)
$1.43
5Y EPS CAGR
-3.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$17.66
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
8.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -144.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-3.4%
Your model implies
8.0%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 202% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| 9.7% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.31
Low vs growth
Net debt
$14.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.61
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Amcor (AMCR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.63% TTM
- Dividend Profile5.99% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.