Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AMCR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$17.69
Method range
$17.69 – $69.96
median $33.09
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $17.69 | -53.61% |
| Exit multiple | $69.96 | +83.48% |
| Analyst target | $47.75 | +25.23% |
| Graham number | $18.42 | -51.69% |
- Forward DCF$17.69
- Exit multiple$69.96
- Analyst target$47.75
- Graham number$18.42
Stock price
$38.13
EPS (TTM)
$1.43
5Y EPS CAGR
-3.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$17.69
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
6.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -115.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-3.4%
Your model implies
6.4%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 178% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | -1.0% | -2.7% |
| 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.31
Low vs growth
Net debt
$14.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.64
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Amcor (AMCR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
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