AQN dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.62), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AQN sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 29, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.62
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.62 | +0.16 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.13% | -0.45pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.38% | +0.36pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 16 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.07
Per-event yield
1.09%
Annualized yield
4.44%
Previously paid
Jun 30, 2026 ($0.07)
Last record date
Jun 30, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.07 | -1.17% | $5.97 | 16 | no | yes | -8.88% | -3.60% | |
| Q1 | $0.07 | -0.49% | $6.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.27% | +2.84% | |
| Q4 | $0.07 | -0.96% | $6.22 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.89% | +1.37% | |
| Q3 | $0.07 | -1.11% | $5.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.30% | +8.43% | |
| Q2 | $0.07 | -1.22% | $5.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.75% | +1.48% | |
| Q1 | $0.07 | -1.54% | $5.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.26% | -8.19% | |
| Q4 | $0.07 | -1.56% | $4.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.47% | +1.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.07 | -1.09% | $5.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.03% | -5.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.11 | -1.34% | $5.98 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.68% | +1.81% | |
| Q1 | $0.11 | -0.83% | $6.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.16% | +4.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.11 | -1.55% | $6.46 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.87% | +2.45% | |
| Q3 | $0.11 | -1.36% | $6.61 | >30 | no | no | -18.61% | -12.58% | |
| Q2 | $0.11 | -1.09% | $8.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.39% | -3.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.11 | -0.48% | $8.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.21% | +5.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -1.37% | $6.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.73% | +11.85% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | -1.20% | $11.69 | 5 | yes | yes | -11.21% | -1.45% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | -1.74% | $13.81 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.65% | -1.66% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -0.71% | $15.58 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.41% | +3.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | -0.83% | $14.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.88% | -1.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -0.94% | $14.84 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.83% | -0.06% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with AQN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical AQN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.45%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+9.09%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-45.52%
Best event
+2.74%
Worst event
-12.58%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AQN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.15% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.09% | |
| +1.31% | |
| +1.55% | |
| +2.74% | |
| +1.32% | |
| +1.32% | |
| -12.58% | |
| +1.68% | |
| +1.80% | |
| +1.81% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.45% | |
| +1.25% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.20% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +1.06% | |
| -3.60% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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