Ticker League

Fair Value for Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN)

See growth priced into Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what AQN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$0.41

Above fair value
-1,354.98% vs current price $5.96

Method range

$0.41 $8.73

median $5.25

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$0.41
  • Exit multiple$8.73
  • Analyst target$6.58
  • Graham number$3.92

Stock price

$5.96

EPS (TTM)

$0.21

5Y EPS CAGR

-30.0%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$0.41

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

10.6%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -1,355.0% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

-30.0%

Your model implies

10.6%

Next-year analyst consensus

69.4%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)9.2%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.2%7.3%6.5%5.6%4.6%3.5%
8.2%9.7%9.0%8.2%7.4%6.5%
9.2%11.8%11.2%10.6%9.9%9.2%
10.1%13.8%13.3%12.8%12.2%11.5%
11.2%15.7%15.3%14.8%14.3%13.7%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday26.7
5Y low11.9
Median26.7
5Y high210.7
P/SToday1.9
5Y low1.4
Median1.8
5Y high4.0
EV/EBITDAToday12.1
5Y low9.5
Median16.1
5Y high30.4

PEG

0.04

Low vs growth

Net debt

$6.5B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.90

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: -1.81 to 1.37 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions