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Fair Value for Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN)

See growth priced into Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what AQN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$0.41

Above fair value
-1,360.26% vs current price $6.01

Method range

$0.41 $8.61

median $5.33

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$0.41
  • Exit multiple$8.61
  • Analyst target$6.75
  • Graham number$3.92

Stock price

$6.01

EPS (TTM)

$0.21

5Y EPS CAGR

-30.0%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$0.41

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

10.5%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -1360.3% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

-30.0%

Your model implies

10.5%

Next-year analyst consensus

70.8%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)9.0%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
7.0%7.2%6.3%5.4%4.4%3.2%
8.0%9.5%8.8%8.1%7.2%6.3%
9.0%11.7%11.1%10.5%9.8%9.0%
10.0%13.7%13.2%12.6%12.0%11.4%
11.0%15.7%15.2%14.7%14.2%13.6%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday26.1
5Y low11.8
Median26.1
5Y high151.8
P/SToday1.9
5Y low1.4
Median1.8
5Y high4.0
EV/EBITDAToday12.1
5Y low9.5
Median16.1
5Y high30.4

PEG

0.04

Low vs growth

Net debt

$6.5B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.90

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: -1.81 to 1.37 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions