Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.43), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ARE sits roughly in line with the Real Estate sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 30, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.72.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.43in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.43 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.89% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.57% | +1.14pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 12 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.72 |
| Per-event yield | 1.56% |
| Annualized yield | 6.82% |
| Previously paid | Mar 31, 2026 ($0.72) |
| Last record date | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 15, 2026 |
ARE Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.72 | 0.00% | $46.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.48% | -1.58% | |
| Q4 | $0.72 | -1.46% | $49.47 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.77% | +9.14% | |
| Q3 | $1.32 | -1.74% | $84.42 | 4 | yes | yes | -13.73% | -5.93% | |
| Q2 | $1.32 | -1.50% | $73.37 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.26% | +6.77% | |
| Q1 | $1.32 | -1.22% | $95.60 | >30 | no | no | -25.14% | -17.23% | |
| Q4 | $1.32 | -0.65% | $97.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.53% | +0.93% | |
| Q3 | $1.30 | -1.78% | $121.02 | 12 | no | yes | -7.15% | -5.09% | |
| Q2 | $1.30 | -0.54% | $116.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.37% | +1.34% | |
| Q1 | $1.27 | 0.17% | $124.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.57% | -0.33% | |
| Q4 | $1.27 | -1.49% | $129.27 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.01% | -1.15% | |
| Q3 | $1.24 | -0.90% | $98.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.72% | +0.35% | |
| Q2 | $1.24 | -1.80% | $112.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.02% | +5.08% | |
| Q1 | $1.21 | 0.24% | $123.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.63% | +2.09% | |
| Q4 | $1.21 | 0.04% | $143.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.10% | +3.74% | |
| Q3 | $1.18 | -1.91% | $141.22 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.72% | -0.50% | |
| Q2 | $1.18 | -1.20% | $144.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.16% | +4.35% | |
| Q1 | $1.15 | -0.98% | $202.64 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.61% | +2.35% | |
| Q4 | $1.15 | -0.41% | $223.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.25% | -5.63% | |
| Q3 | $1.12 | -0.17% | $191.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.11% | +2.46% | |
| Q2 | $1.12 | -0.47% | $184.36 | 5 | yes | yes | -1.91% | +2.00% |
- -1.58%
- +9.14%
- -5.93%
- +6.77%
- -17.23%
- +0.93%
- -5.09%
- +1.34%
- -0.33%
- -1.15%
- +0.35%
- +5.08%
- +2.09%
- +3.74%
- -0.50%
- +4.35%
- +2.35%
- -5.63%
- +2.46%
- +2.00%
ARE Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
ARE Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with ARE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $144.00
- After-tax dividend
- $93.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$9.26
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$84.34
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.91%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~45.9%
ARE Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical ARE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ARE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.61% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +1.10% | |
| +1.25% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +1.12% | |
| -5.09% | |
| +1.35% | |
| -17.23% | |
| +1.80% | |
| +1.56% | |
| +1.46% | |
| +1.56% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.