Avient (AVNT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 79% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.21), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, AVNT sits noticeably below the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 18, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 79%-16pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.21in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 79% | -16pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.21 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.79% | -0.37pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -6.63% | -1.92pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 12 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
| Dividend | $0.28 |
| Per-event yield | 0.80% |
| Annualized yield | 2.91% |
| Previously paid | Mar 17, 2026 ($0.28) |
| Last record date | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 3, 2026 |
AVNT Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Avient (AVNT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.28 | 0.03% | $34.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.15% | +0.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | -0.92% | $31.51 | 7 | no | yes | -4.47% | -0.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -2.34% | $37.59 | >30 | no | no | -13.91% | -5.80% | |
| Q2 | $0.27 | -0.09% | $34.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.61% | -3.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -1.35% | $40.65 | >30 | no | no | -11.41% | -2.24% | |
| Q4 | $0.27 | -1.10% | $48.32 | >30 | no | no | -16.76% | -13.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | 0.98% | $45.97 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.50% | +5.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.26 | -0.50% | $43.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | +0.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -0.56% | $40.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.69% | +2.93% | |
| Q4 | $0.26 | 1.69% | $37.94 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.69% | +7.19% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | 0.92% | $37.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.65% | -2.76% | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | -1.45% | $39.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.01% | -2.66% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -3.48% | $39.63 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.07% | -1.67% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -2.10% | $34.71 | 12 | no | yes | -6.54% | -4.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -1.49% | $38.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -22.39% | -8.48% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | -3.37% | $44.52 | >30 | no | no | -12.20% | -2.93% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | 0.16% | $48.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.04% | +5.04% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | 0.43% | $53.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.29% | +2.63% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | -0.38% | $47.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.50% | -1.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | -0.51% | $50.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.30% | -3.94% |
- +0.71%
- -0.46%
- -5.80%
- -3.10%
- -2.24%
- -13.56%
- +5.19%
- +0.57%
- +2.93%
- +7.19%
- -2.76%
- -2.66%
- -1.67%
- -4.42%
- -8.48%
- -2.93%
- +5.04%
- +2.63%
- -1.23%
- -3.94%
AVNT Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 4 | 20% |
AVNT Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with AVNT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $56.00
- After-tax dividend
- $36.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$6.87
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$29.53
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.43%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~21.7%
AVNT Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical AVNT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · AVNT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.42% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.48% | |
| -2.93% | |
| +0.61% | |
| -4.42% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +0.56% | |
| -13.56% | |
| -2.24% | |
| +0.79% | |
| -5.80% | |
| -0.46% | |
| +0.80% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.