Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AVNT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$9.29
Method range
$9.29 – $61.35
median $33.37
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $9.29 | -72.62% |
| Exit multiple | $61.35 | +80.76% |
| Analyst target | $47.80 | +40.84% |
| Graham number | $18.94 | -44.21% |
- Forward DCF$9.29
- Exit multiple$61.35
- Analyst target$47.80
- Graham number$18.94
Stock price
$33.94
EPS (TTM)
$1.72
5Y EPS CAGR
-9.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$9.29
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
9.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -265.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-9.3%
Your model implies
9.7%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 78.9% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% |
| 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.06
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.32
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Avient (AVNT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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