Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AVNT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$9.34
Method range
$9.34 – $61.27
median $33.30
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $9.34 | -74.99% |
| Exit multiple | $61.27 | +64.00% |
| Analyst target | $47.67 | +27.60% |
| Graham number | $18.94 | -49.32% |
- Forward DCF$9.34
- Exit multiple$61.27
- Analyst target$47.67
- Graham number$18.94
Stock price
$37.36
EPS (TTM)
$1.72
5Y EPS CAGR
-9.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$9.34
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
11.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -299.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-9.3%
Your model implies
11.0%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 78.9% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% |
| 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.9% |
| 13.1% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.06
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.41B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.28
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Avient (AVNT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.