Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what AVY is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$407.77
Method range
$38.31 – $407.77
median $201.62
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $407.77 | +158.60% |
| Exit multiple | $198.85 | +26.11% |
| Analyst target | $204.40 | +29.63% |
| Graham number | $38.31 | -75.70% |
- Forward DCF$407.77
- Exit multiple$198.85
- Analyst target$204.40
- Graham number$38.31
Stock price
$157.68
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.41
3Y FCF CAGR
-0.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$18.73
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
28.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -742.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-0.1%
Your model implies
28.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -0% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | 24.3% | 23.2% | 22.0% | 20.6% | 19.1% |
| 7.8% | 27.2% | 26.3% | 25.3% | 24.2% | 23.0% |
| 8.8% | 29.9% | 29.1% | 28.3% | 27.4% | 26.4% |
| 9.8% | 32.5% | 31.8% | 31.0% | 30.2% | 29.4% |
| 10.8% | 34.9% | 34.2% | 33.6% | 32.9% | 32.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
14.19
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$3.53B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.83
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Avery Dennison (AVY) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks2.79% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.42% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.