BX dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Blackstone (BX) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.24), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, BX sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Nov 2, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.24
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.24 | -0.06 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.96% | -0.38pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 42% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -6.23% | -1.83pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 6 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$1.29
Per-event yield
1.01%
Annualized yield
3.88%
Previously paid
Aug 3, 2026 ($1.29)
Last record date
Aug 3, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Blackstone (BX). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $1.29 | 0.27% | $127.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.16% | — | |
| Q2 | $1.16 | -1.09% | $126.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.76% | -3.00% | |
| Q1 | $1.49 | -1.22% | $129.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.38% | +2.46% | |
| Q4 | $1.29 | -0.86% | $146.64 | 6 | no | yes | -6.65% | -0.72% | |
| Q3 | $1.03 | -0.12% | $170.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.43% | +0.41% | |
| Q2 | $0.37 | 0.08% | $132.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.49% | +2.73% | |
| Q1 | $1.44 | 0.18% | $170.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.98% | -1.23% | |
| Q4 | $0.86 | 0.72% | $167.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.80% | +0.24% | |
| Q3 | $0.82 | -0.70% | $142.00 | 2 | yes | yes | -12.36% | -8.22% | |
| Q2 | $0.83 | -0.36% | $123.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.11% | -3.68% | |
| Q1 | $0.94 | -1.63% | $124.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.52% | +3.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.80 | -0.34% | $92.30 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.02% | +10.18% | |
| Q3 | $0.79 | 0.19% | $103.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.76% | +0.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.82 | -1.18% | $87.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.29% | -4.77% | |
| Q1 | $0.91 | -4.22% | $100.03 | >30 | no | no | -10.20% | -5.99% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | -3.14% | $93.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.36% | -2.69% | |
| Q3 | $1.27 | -1.44% | $102.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.23% | -0.01% | |
| Q2 | $1.32 | -1.57% | $108.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.57% | -5.06% | |
| Q1 | $1.45 | -1.19% | $134.09 | 4 | yes | yes | -10.58% | -6.76% | |
| Q4 | $1.09 | -1.66% | $139.37 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.21% | +3.06% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with BX's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical BX ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.42%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+8.48%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+11.61%
Best event
+1.24%
Worst event
-5.99%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · BX (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.78% | |
| +1.08% | |
| +1.22% | |
| +1.24% | |
| +0.96% | |
| -5.99% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.85% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.60% | |
| -0.72% | |
| +1.15% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +1.01% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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